Moss vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
MOS
1 - 0
BOG
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
MFK
3 - 1
MOS
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
MOS
0 - 4
LSK
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
BRY
1 - 1
MOS
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
IKS
1 - 1
MOS
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1977 |
VKG
5 - 1
VIF
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1977 |
VIF
1 - 2
MJO
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
VIF
4 - 1
BRY
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
HAM
0 - 1
VIF
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1977 |
VIF
5 - 2
BBS
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |