Moss vs Skeid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
14º
13º
7
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 65 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 50 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 48 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 44 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 44 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 42 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 39 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 38 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 37 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 20 |
16º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2025 |
ODD
2 - 0
MOS
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MOS
2 - 0
LYN
39%
26%
36%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
MOS
0 - 1
VKG
16%
19%
65%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
LSK
3 - 0
MOS
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MOS
4 - 2
STB
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Skeid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2025 |
LYN
1 - 1
SKE
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
SKE
1 - 1
LSK
13%
20%
67%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
STB
1 - 0
SKE
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
SKE
1 - 4
KON
19%
22%
59%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
ALT
3 - 0
SKE
38%
24%
39%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -2 |