Moss vs Lorenskog IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
MOS
2 - 0
NES
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
KFU
1 - 0
MOS
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
STR
2 - 2
MOS
21%
21%
58%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
MOS
3 - 3
STA
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
STE
3 - 5
MOS
15%
20%
65%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Lorenskog IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 2
ULL
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
NES
0 - 2
LOR
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
BYA
4 - 0
LOR
40%
23%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
KFU
30%
25%
46%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 1
NAR
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |