Moss vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
65.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
KVI
1 - 0
MOS
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MOS
2 - 5
SKE
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
KJE
2 - 1
MOS
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
MOS
1 - 1
TRO
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
MOS
0 - 1
FFC
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FFK
3 - 0
ALT
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
FFK
6 - 0
FLO
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
EID
1 - 6
FFK
28%
24%
48%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
FFK
5 - 0
SEN
74%
17%
10%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
KVI
1 - 5
FFK
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |