Moss vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
ALT
3 - 2
MOS
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
MOS
1 - 1
HAU
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
MOS
0 - 1
SKE
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
FFK
3 - 1
MOS
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2003 |
MOS
1 - 2
STB
21%
23%
56%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 2
HON
15%
20%
65%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
HAM
2 - 0
BAR
83%
12%
6%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
IKS
4 - 1
BAR
61%
21%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
BAR
3 - 2
ORN
56%
22%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
HOD
2 - 0
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |