Mosqueo vs Paradas B. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosqueo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ASJ
1 - 3
MSQ
49%
23%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MSQ
1 - 5
PEN
33%
25%
43%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MSQ
2 - 0
MON
33%
27%
41%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BET
1 - 1
MSQ
55%
23%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MSQ
4 - 1
CAB
42%
26%
32%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Paradas B.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 3
BET
44%
26%
30%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
ADS
43%
25%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ARH
1 - 1
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
LAV
39%
25%
36%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 3
PAR
56%
23%
22%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |