Mosgiel vs Green Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
37.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosgiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
ROW
3 - 1
MOS
29%
21%
50%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
NAF
2 - 3
MOS
8%
13%
80%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
DUN
6 - 1
MOS
77%
16%
8%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
MOS
1 - 0
OTU
45%
24%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
NSF
1 - 0
GIA
51%
21%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
GBA
0 - 2
GIA
9%
14%
78%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
GIA
2 - 2
QUE
54%
20%
26%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
CAV
2 - 1
GIA
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
GIA
3 - 1
NAF
82%
12%
7%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |