Moschato vs Marko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
59.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
12º
11º
46
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moschato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
POR
4 - 3
MOS
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MOS
2 - 1
ETH
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AAO
7 - 2
MOS
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MOS
0 - 0
ANK
19%
20%
61%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FOS
2 - 0
MOS
61%
21%
19%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ETH
0 - 0
FCM
33%
26%
42%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 0
ANK
47%
25%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AGI
0 - 5
FCM
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 1
RAF
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
KER
1 - 1
FCM
20%
20%
60%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |