Morupule Wanderers vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morupule Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MOW
2 - 1
SES
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
POL
1 - 1
MOW
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
GAB
2 - 2
MOW
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MOW
2 - 2
PRI
64%
19%
18%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
MOW
1 - 0
POL
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BRH
0 - 0
BOT
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
ORA
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 0
BRH
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
MOG
2 - 3
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 2
BOT
58%
22%
19%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |