Morrinhos FC vs Tupy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+1047%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morrinhos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
COE
0 - 0
MOR
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
MOR
2 - 2
ANA
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
ANA
2 - 0
MOR
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
MOR
0 - 3
COE
59%
21%
21%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
TDJ
0 - 0
MOR
16%
18%
66%
|
41 | 12 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Tupy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
IPO
1 - 1
TDJ
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
TDJ
2 - 2
RIO
20%
19%
62%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 0
TDJ
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
TDJ
5 - 3
IPO
14%
16%
70%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | +6 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
TDJ
0 - 0
MOR
16%
18%
66%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | +3 |