Morrinhos FC vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morrinhos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
MOR
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 2
ITU
31%
24%
46%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 0
GOI
46%
24%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
MOR
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 4
GOI
11%
16%
73%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
APA
1 - 6
ATL
12%
18%
70%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 3
APA
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
APA
1 - 1
RIO
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ANA
1 - 1
APA
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
APA
3 - 1
GOI
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |