Morrinhos FC vs Aparecida GO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morrinhos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
IPO
0 - 0
MOR
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 3
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 2
UMU
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 2
ANA
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecida GO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
APA
1 - 4
TRI
14%
20%
66%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
APA
4 - 4
MIN
17%
20%
64%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | +3 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
IPO
3 - 0
APA
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
CNO
6 - 0
APA
76%
16%
9%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
APA
1 - 3
GOI
17%
20%
64%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | -1 |