Morpeth Town vs Pontefract Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morpeth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
STA
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 1
MOR
13%
18%
70%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
MOR
10%
16%
74%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BRI
2 - 3
MOR
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 4
MOR
18%
19%
63%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
PON
3 - 2
PIC
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
PON
2 - 1
BRI
47%
21%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TAD
2 - 3
PON
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
PON
2 - 2
FRI
61%
19%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 6
PON
18%
18%
64%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |