Moron vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
UDM
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
UDM
2 - 1
CDL
74%
16%
11%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
EST
0 - 2
UDM
30%
24%
47%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
UDM
2 - 1
BAR
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CDP
2 - 0
UDM
15%
22%
63%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
UTR
2 - 0
CDL
72%
17%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
UTR
36%
26%
38%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
UTR
0 - 0
ANT
48%
25%
27%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 0
UTR
56%
23%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UTR
1 - 1
LAV
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |