Moron vs Lebrijana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ADC
0 - 0
UDM
37%
27%
36%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
NER
0 - 1
UDM
45%
25%
31%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
UDM
0 - 2
MSQ
45%
27%
28%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 1
ARH
40%
29%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ANT
3 - 0
UDM
66%
20%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lebrijana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
LEB
3 - 1
NER
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
MSQ
2 - 0
LEB
57%
24%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LEB
1 - 3
YEY
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
LEB
0 - 1
BET
24%
25%
51%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
NUE
0 - 3
LEB
63%
22%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |