Moron vs Peñarroya Pueblonuevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ADS
0 - 0
UDM
56%
21%
22%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UDM
1 - 1
ROC
43%
25%
32%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
EST
3 - 2
UDM
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
2 - 0
MAI
45%
25%
30%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NER
2 - 1
UDM
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarroya Pueblonuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CDA
4 - 0
PEN
87%
10%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
ADS
16%
21%
63%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ROC
6 - 1
PEN
81%
13%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
EST
13%
19%
68%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MAI
3 - 1
PEN
78%
16%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |