Moron vs PD Rociera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
TOR
3 - 2
UDM
29%
26%
45%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
UDM
3 - 0
JDB
45%
27%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SMA
0 - 1
UDM
56%
24%
20%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 1
LEB
53%
26%
21%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ADC
0 - 0
UDM
37%
27%
36%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
PD Rociera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
PEN
1 - 0
NER
58%
22%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
MSQ
2 - 2
PEN
50%
23%
26%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
PEN
1 - 1
YEY
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
PUE
0 - 0
PEN
47%
26%
28%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
PEN
4 - 1
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |