Moron vs PD Rociera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
EST
3 - 2
UDM
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
2 - 0
MAI
45%
25%
30%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NER
2 - 1
UDM
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
0 - 1
ANT
35%
25%
40%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
3 - 2
ESP
30%
24%
46%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
PD Rociera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ROC
6 - 1
PEN
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ADS
1 - 0
ROC
44%
24%
32%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CDA
4 - 1
ROC
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
EST
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 1
MAI
48%
25%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |