Moron vs Nervión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MSQ
1 - 1
UDM
54%
25%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
YEY
4 - 1
UDM
37%
27%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 2
PUE
45%
28%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
UDM
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 1
BRE
68%
21%
12%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
NER
4 - 1
ADC
32%
27%
41%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
MSQ
2 - 1
NER
67%
20%
13%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
NER
2 - 2
YEY
36%
25%
40%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
PUE
2 - 0
NER
59%
24%
17%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
NER
0 - 0
SAN
41%
24%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |