Moron vs Estrella San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
49.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAI
1 - 2
UDM
83%
13%
5%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UDM
3 - 2
NER
20%
22%
58%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ANT
3 - 2
UDM
78%
15%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
UDM
0 - 3
ANT
26%
26%
49%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PEN
4 - 0
UDM
42%
25%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
PEN
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ADS
0 - 2
EST
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
EST
4 - 0
ROC
15%
20%
65%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +3 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
EST
2 - 2
ALM
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
COR
1 - 3
EST
22%
23%
56%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |