Moron vs La Barrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SOL
0 - 0
UDM
53%
24%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 0
CAS
53%
24%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
UDM
53%
25%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 0
UDM
73%
18%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
UDM
5 - 0
BAE
60%
23%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
La Barrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 0
ANT
24%
25%
51%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 0
CIU
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AGU
0 - 1
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
UTR
1 - 0
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 3
PAR
56%
23%
22%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -2 |