Moron vs La Barrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LCF
3 - 2
UDM
65%
20%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UDM
1 - 3
CDL
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UDM
1 - 1
CDA
40%
25%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 1
UDM
27%
25%
49%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
UDM
3 - 1
ADS
21%
22%
57%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
La Barrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ADS
1 - 2
BAR
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
ROC
14%
22%
65%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
MAI
10%
21%
69%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |