Moron vs Baena At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CIU
1 - 1
UDM
63%
21%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
UDM
0 - 4
AGU
36%
26%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
UDM
0 - 2
UTR
31%
26%
43%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
UDM
31%
27%
43%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 4
ASJ
59%
23%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Baena At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MON
6 - 0
BAE
65%
21%
13%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CIU
7 - 0
BAE
65%
21%
14%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BAE
1 - 4
AGU
44%
25%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
BAE
0 - 5
UTR
38%
26%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 4
BAE
62%
22%
16%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |