Moron vs Ayamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
LAP
2 - 1
UDM
58%
20%
23%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
UDM
1 - 0
OVA
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
BAR
1 - 5
UDM
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1958 |
UDM
1 - 0
CIR
83%
11%
7%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
UDM
2 - 2
POR
69%
16%
15%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
AYA
2 - 1
BAR
64%
18%
18%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
UTR
4 - 2
AYA
77%
14%
10%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1958 |
IMP
2 - 3
AYA
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
ALG
3 - 1
AYA
90%
7%
3%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1957 |
AYA
1 - 0
GAD
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |