Moron vs Atlético Algabeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
LCF
0 - 0
UDM
35%
26%
39%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
UDM
3 - 0
NUE
60%
24%
16%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 0
UDM
42%
26%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
UDM
2 - 0
PEN
44%
26%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
TOR
3 - 2
UDM
29%
26%
45%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético Algabeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 0
NER
54%
24%
22%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
MSQ
0 - 2
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 1
YEY
34%
26%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
PUE
1 - 0
ATL
56%
25%
19%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
3 - 2
SAN
36%
25%
39%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |