Moron vs Atco. Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
UDM
43%
25%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UDM
1 - 1
LCF
37%
25%
38%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CDL
1 - 0
UDM
60%
21%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CDA
3 - 0
UDM
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UDM
7 - 2
PEN
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ATC
2 - 0
PEN
67%
19%
15%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ADS
2 - 1
ATC
79%
14%
8%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ATC
1 - 1
ROC
28%
25%
47%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
ATC
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ATC
2 - 4
MAI
56%
23%
22%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |