Moron vs Atco. Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
POZ
2 - 0
UDM
70%
19%
11%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
UDM
1 - 2
LCF
52%
23%
25%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ADS
2 - 0
UDM
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
UDM
0 - 1
UTR
54%
23%
22%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
UDM
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ATC
1 - 0
CAL
39%
23%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 0
ATC
72%
16%
12%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ATC
2 - 3
LCF
17%
22%
61%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
UTR
3 - 0
ATC
82%
13%
5%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ATC
0 - 3
CAR
22%
21%
57%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |