Moron vs Arahal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
46.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LAV
0 - 0
UDM
55%
22%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 0
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SOL
0 - 0
UDM
53%
24%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 0
CAS
53%
24%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
UDM
53%
25%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ARH
2 - 0
ANT
39%
27%
35%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ARH
2 - 1
CIU
50%
24%
27%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 2
ARH
38%
26%
36%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
UTR
0 - 2
ARH
61%
22%
17%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ARH
1 - 1
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |