Morön vs Piteå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
60.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morön
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
GAL
2 - 2
MOR
35%
21%
43%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 2
PIT
13%
18%
69%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 5
TAF
77%
14%
10%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
BOD
1 - 0
MOR
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
SOD
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Piteå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
PIT
3 - 3
TAF
91%
7%
3%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 2
PIT
13%
18%
69%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
PIT
5 - 4
BOD
71%
17%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
SOD
2 - 5
PIT
11%
18%
72%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
PIT
3 - 0
VAL
86%
9%
5%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |