AS Morolo vs Civitavecchia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Morolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
STC
0 - 1
ASM
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ASM
1 - 1
FBC
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
BUD
2 - 1
ASM
57%
23%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ASM
0 - 0
CYN
36%
26%
38%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GAE
1 - 0
ASM
67%
20%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Civitavecchia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BUD
3 - 0
CIV
57%
23%
21%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CIV
2 - 1
STC
26%
25%
49%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ARZ
3 - 0
CIV
69%
18%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CIV
1 - 0
GAE
22%
24%
55%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 1
CIV
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |