Mornar vs Jedinstvo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
10º
8º
47
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
FKA
2 - 1
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 1
SUT
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
RUD
1 - 0
MOR
28%
28%
45%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
DEC
31%
28%
42%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 0
ZEL
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Jedinstvo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
JED
0 - 1
JEZ
28%
30%
42%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
JED
0 - 1
PET
32%
29%
39%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 0
JED
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
JED
1 - 1
SUT
21%
28%
51%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
MAV
2 - 0
JED
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |