Mornar vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 1
RAD
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 0
MOR
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
DTB
1 - 1
MOR
68%
19%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 1
DTB
22%
23%
55%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
BEO
0 - 0
MOR
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FKA
3 - 0
OUL
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
OUL
1 - 1
FKA
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
FKM
2 - 2
OUL
28%
25%
48%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
OUL
1 - 0
FKM
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
IGA
0 - 2
OUL
20%
27%
54%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |