Mornar vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
IBA
1 - 1
MOR
50%
26%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
BOK
0 - 0
MOR
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 3
JED
35%
29%
36%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
JEZ
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FKA
1 - 1
MOR
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
OUL
1 - 1
DEC
18%
26%
57%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
OUL
1 - 2
IBA
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FKD
0 - 0
OUL
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LOV
2 - 1
OUL
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
OUL
0 - 4
BOK
27%
30%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |