Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
MOR
1 - 1
ASH
21%
23%
57%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
MOR
0 - 1
DEC
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
PET
0 - 2
MOR
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
MOR
4 - 1
BOK
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
FKA
1 - 1
MOR
42%
26%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
OUL
1 - 2
FKA
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
POS
0 - 5
FKA
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
GOS
0 - 3
FKA
38%
24%
39%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
PET
2 - 1
FKA
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
FKA
4 - 0
LOV
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |