Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SUT
1 - 1
MOR
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 2
BUD
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
DEC
1 - 0
MOR
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 2
JED
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 2
PAK
14%
17%
69%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 1
BOK
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 1
PET
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SUT
1 - 2
FKA
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 2
BUD
37%
26%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 1
JED
46%
25%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |