Mormont vs Sparta Heestert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
5 - 0
SAR
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
SPR
34%
24%
43%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
RAE
2 - 1
MOR
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 3
MAR
61%
20%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
AYW
0 - 1
MOR
55%
21%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Heestert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SHE
7 - 0
VCV
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MEU
1 - 2
SHE
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 1
RAC
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
SHE
1 - 1
RCL
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
DIK
1 - 3
SHE
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |