Mormont vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
VAU
2 - 5
MOR
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 0
LAR
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 1
ROS
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MEI
2 - 1
MOR
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 0
SAI
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MEI
4 - 1
MES
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 2
MES
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MES
1 - 4
MON
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 2
MES
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MES
2 - 3
BOM
15%
20%
65%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |