Mores CD vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mores CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
MOR
72%
18%
10%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 0
CDC
14%
20%
66%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
HER
3 - 1
MOR
62%
20%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 0
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
BUJ
41%
24%
35%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
UDM
2 - 1
CEL
54%
24%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
BUJ
1 - 1
UDM
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
UDM
0 - 2
CFV
30%
25%
44%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
4 - 1
UDM
68%
19%
14%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
UDM
4 - 0
SFE
45%
24%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |