Morella vs Orpesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
40%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAB
3 - 2
MOR
27%
23%
51%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 0
VIN
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
MOR
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
4 - 1
BEN
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
OND
2 - 2
MOR
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
VIN
1 - 2
ORP
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ORP
1 - 2
BEN
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ORP
3 - 2
PED
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
POB
1 - 1
ORP
36%
23%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ORP
3 - 3
RAF
34%
22%
45%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |