Morella vs Calig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 0
MOR
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 3
ORP
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAB
3 - 2
MOR
27%
23%
51%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 0
VIN
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
MOR
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ORP
3 - 0
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
VIN
20%
21%
59%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
3 - 1
CAL
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 3
TRA
20%
21%
60%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
PED
2 - 2
CAL
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |