Morell vs Sant Ildefons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
68.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-86%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
MOR
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
TTE
22%
21%
56%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
GOR
20%
21%
59%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CEE
4 - 0
MOR
61%
20%
20%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 5
SJU
10%
17%
73%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sant Ildefons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
UES
3 - 3
GOR
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CEE
1 - 1
UES
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
UES
1 - 1
SJU
34%
22%
44%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CFV
3 - 0
UES
65%
20%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
UES
4 - 1
SAR
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |