Morell vs Sant Ildefons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
78.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-96%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UDV
2 - 0
MOR
88%
9%
3%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
UDV
3 - 0
MOR
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 2
ALP
8%
14%
79%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SUB
1 - 0
MOR
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 0
RUB
10%
17%
73%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sant Ildefons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UES
2 - 0
ALP
43%
22%
35%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SUB
1 - 2
UES
43%
22%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
UES
2 - 0
RUB
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
RAP
2 - 1
UES
50%
22%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
UES
2 - 2
VIL
51%
21%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |