Morell vs Santboià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
77.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-96%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SCR
2 - 0
MOR
72%
16%
11%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 4
BAL
18%
22%
60%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
UES
2 - 0
MOR
65%
18%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
UDV
20%
21%
59%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
UDV
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Santboià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
STB
5 - 2
ALP
62%
22%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SUB
2 - 1
STB
22%
20%
58%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
STB
1 - 0
RUB
55%
24%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RAP
2 - 2
STB
18%
21%
60%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
STB
3 - 1
VIL
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |