Morell vs Rubí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
73.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 3
RAP
11%
17%
72%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
MOR
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 5
IGU
13%
18%
69%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
REU
2 - 1
MOR
88%
9%
4%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
LLB
14%
19%
68%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rubí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ALP
0 - 0
RUB
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
RUB
3 - 1
SUB
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
UDV
2 - 0
RUB
44%
25%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
RAP
2 - 1
RUB
35%
25%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
RUB
2 - 3
VIL
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |