Morell vs Rapitenca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-96%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
MOR
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 5
IGU
13%
18%
69%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
REU
2 - 1
MOR
88%
9%
4%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
LLB
14%
19%
68%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CEE
4 - 0
MOR
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rapitenca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
RAP
1 - 0
ALP
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SUB
1 - 1
RAP
53%
21%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
RAP
2 - 1
RUB
35%
25%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
UDV
2 - 0
RAP
46%
25%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
RAP
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |