Morell vs Palamós analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
55.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 0
CDM
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
MOR
69%
17%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
GAV
20%
21%
60%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PER
1 - 0
MOR
62%
19%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
FIG
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Palamós
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
PAL
4 - 2
CDM
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
GAV
3 - 0
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
UES
1 - 1
PAL
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
FIG
46%
26%
29%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 3
VIL
33%
25%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |