Morell vs Marianao Poblet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-89%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
MON
4 - 3
MOR
71%
18%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
TOR
0 - 1
MOR
78%
15%
7%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 1
SCR
32%
25%
43%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
PSE
1 - 1
MOR
73%
17%
11%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Marianao Poblet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
FCM
1 - 1
TOR
19%
23%
58%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SCR
0 - 0
FCM
67%
19%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
FCM
2 - 1
PSE
20%
23%
57%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 1
FCM
42%
25%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
FCM
2 - 4
CAS
12%
21%
68%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | -1 |