Morell vs Jesus y Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
72.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-96%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
STB
4 - 0
MOR
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 1
SCR
6%
14%
79%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BAL
8 - 0
MOR
90%
8%
3%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 2
UES
7%
15%
78%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UDV
2 - 0
MOR
88%
9%
3%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Jesus y Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
UES
2 - 1
JYM
49%
22%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
JYM
1 - 2
UDT
80%
13%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
UDV
3 - 1
JYM
58%
21%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
JYM
3 - 4
UDV
70%
17%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 1
JYM
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |