Morell vs CF Gavá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
75.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CUB
2 - 0
MOR
91%
7%
3%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
MOR
1 - 3
CFA
7%
15%
78%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
VSC
6 - 0
MOR
80%
13%
7%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MOR
2 - 7
GAV
9%
17%
74%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PMA
4 - 1
MOR
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CF Gavá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
GAV
1 - 0
UDV
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
GAV
2 - 0
CUB
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CFA
2 - 2
GAV
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GAV
0 - 1
VSC
28%
23%
49%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
GAV
6 - 1
GAV
44%
23%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |