Morell vs Júpiter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-90%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
RUB
4 - 1
MOR
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAB
2 - 1
MOR
69%
18%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
PAL
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 0
CDM
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
MOR
69%
17%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Júpiter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JUP
1 - 2
PAL
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CDM
2 - 1
JUP
26%
25%
49%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
JUP
1 - 4
GAV
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FIG
1 - 2
JUP
53%
24%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
JUP
1 - 2
VIL
30%
24%
46%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |